February 13, 2008

2008 Sim, The Streak Ends BIG Time

The Pittsburgh Pirates lose to the dreaded Yankees 4-1, not in interleague play, but in the 2008 World Series.

According to MLBScoop.com's 2008 sims, using Out of the Park Baseball, the first run had the Pirates as NL Central and NL Champion. The Pirates won on the strength of pitching while compiling a 92-70 mark in the regular season.

Fearing a fluke, MLBScoop reran the sim with a similar result. Our beloved Bucco's ran up another 92 win season, only to lose to Arizona in the Divisional Series.

Now that I have downloaded the software used by MLBScoop, I will perform my own sims to see if I can figure out how 92 seems to be the destined win total. From a quick sim I ran, it looked as if the primary catalysts are Gorzy, Snell, Capps and LaRoche. In a quick sim to get familiar with the software LaRoche had 40+ homers and 100+ rbi's.

After I run a few sims, I will post the results and hopefully have some clue into how this could happen for real in 2008. I'm not holding my breath for a 92 win season, but I want to see if it is actually possible.


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